Hurricane season could begin before its official start for a seventh year in a row in the Atlantic Ocean, as the National Hurricane Center monitors a weather system that could become this season’s first named storm.
The NHC announced its 2021 Atlantic hurricane season outlook Thursday afternoon, predicting an above average hurricane season.
If the system it is monitoring forms, it will become one of the 13 to 20 named storms the center is forecasting.
Thursday morning, the NHC noted a region in the North Atlantic, northeast of Bermuda, as an area to watch for subtropical development.
The system, identified by the center as Invest 90L, has a high, 80% chance of formation by this weekend and a 90% chance by early next week. If it becomes a tropical or subtropical storm, it will be named Ana.
The water temperatures are rather cool for a tropical cyclone to form, so if it does form it would likely be categorized as a subtropical cyclone.
“The low is expected to turn westward and west-southwestward over warmer waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday,” the NHC said in its Thursday afternoon update.
Regardless of whether this system becomes a tropical or subtropical cyclone, there will not be significant impacts to land. Passing showers and gusty winds will be possible late in the week and into the weekend for Bermuda.
This chance of development signals that hurricane season is just around the corner — and the time to watch the Atlantic Ocean for tropical systems is beginning.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and is six months long, lasting through November 30.
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